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Red135
171994.1
999997.6
4099138.4
Blue412
2914115.1
384178.4
225229.0
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1284470200300400500600700135412

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#20
138.40.4
136.8137.1
Auto20.0
Teleop107.1
End10.9
blue by 90.6
225
#1
229.00.6
216.2216.7
Auto24.7
Teleop174.0
End34.2
Second
9999
#24
97.60.7
94.695.2
Auto10.6
Teleop77.7
End11.6
blue by 80.7
384
#3
178.40.2
183.2183.0
Auto20.0
Teleop137.2
End20.4
Third
1719
#26
94.10.3
99.399.0
Auto13.9
Teleop73.7
End6.5
blue by 21.0
2914
#27
115.10.5
119.9119.4
Auto14.6
Teleop90.6
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
1%Face the Boss oddsMissed33%Face the Boss oddsMissed