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Red275
888173.3
5724144.9
686130.4
Blue259
5945164.6
4505126.6
4242143.9
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372336250300400450500550600275259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
888
#11
173.31.0
179.2178.2
Auto18.4
Teleop125.9
End26.1
red by 8.7
5945
#14
164.60.2
169.9170.1
Auto18.9
Teleop121.3
End20.6
Second
5724
#22
144.90.4
151.8152.2
Auto17.5
Teleop106.6
End19.6
red by 1.0
4242
#17
143.90.8
148.4147.6
Auto18.4
Teleop108.5
End15.7
Third
686
#2
130.42.5
116.2118.7
Auto23.7
Teleop97.0
End9.4
red by 3.8
4505
#25
126.60.2
134.2134.4
Auto15.7
Teleop100.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed75%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
17%Face the Boss oddsMissed13%Face the Boss oddsMissed