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Red409
2539148.5
2377170.7
4050144.3
Blue156
3389124.7
2849123.7
3941140.9
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions384284100200500600409156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.70.3
166.3166.6
Auto20.0
Teleop121.5
End29.9
red by 29.8
3941
#10
140.91.6
140.0141.6
Auto15.5
Teleop110.0
End12.5
Second
148.50.4
145.2145.5
Auto18.5
Teleop106.8
End26.7
red by 23.8
3389
#21
124.70.5
135.1134.6
Auto16.1
Teleop91.5
End16.2
Third
4050
#15
144.30.2
144.4144.6
Auto18.1
Teleop103.0
End18.9
red by 20.6
2849
#28
123.71.9
133.6131.7
Auto17.9
Teleop96.7
End5.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
34%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed