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Red455
4472181.2
1629203.4
1727128.9
Blue210
449135.6
1915107.8
3389134.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions454224100300400500600700800455210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.40.7
200.0200.7
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
red by 67.8
449
#24
135.60.2
135.4135.6
Auto18.9
Teleop99.7
End15.1
Second
181.20.5
179.1179.6
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
red by 47.0
3389
#14
134.20.4
133.8134.2
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
Third
1727
#34
128.90.3
130.7130.4
Auto15.7
Teleop91.3
End19.8
red by 21.1
1915
#11
107.80.2
107.6107.8
Auto16.5
Teleop81.0
End9.6