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Red495
4472181.2
1629203.4
1727128.9
Blue288
5115140.0
2537166.1
2849134.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424279100200500600700495288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
203.40.6
200.7201.4
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
red by 37.3
166.10.2
165.7165.9
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
Second
181.20.4
179.6180.0
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
red by 41.2
5115
#16
140.00.0
140.1140.1
Auto18.8
Teleop108.5
End12.3
Third
1727
#34
128.90.3
130.4130.1
Auto15.7
Teleop91.3
End19.8
blue by 5.4
2849
#15
134.30.2
134.6134.5
Auto18.9
Teleop101.6
End12.3