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Red425
2377181.1
4541171.5
5549120.2
Blue163
4099134.0
5243130.5
3941139.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381288100200500600425163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#10
181.10.3
179.2179.5
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
red by 41.4
3941
#22
139.60.4
139.0139.4
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Second
171.50.2
170.2170.4
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
red by 37.5
134.00.5
133.1133.6
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End9.7
Third
5549
#20
120.20.1
119.5119.6
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
blue by 10.3
130.50.6
129.5130.1
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1