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Red419
2377181.1
4541171.5
5549120.2
Blue126
4099134.0
5243130.5
3941139.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387278100200500600419126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#10
181.10.4
179.5179.9
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
red by 41.4
3941
#22
139.60.2
139.4139.6
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Second
171.50.3
170.4170.6
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
red by 37.5
134.00.4
133.6134.0
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End9.7
Third
5549
#20
120.20.1
119.6119.7
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
blue by 10.3
130.50.4
130.1130.5
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1