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Red263
3650112.1
6239121.8
5115140.0
Blue468
4541171.5
2377181.1
1629203.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1854450100300400500600700263468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#16
140.00.9
135.3136.2
Auto18.8
Teleop108.5
End12.3
blue by 63.4
203.40.6
179.7180.3
Auto25.4
Teleop150.7
End27.8
Second
6239
#21
121.82.3
117.3115.0
Auto14.6
Teleop87.6
End22.9
blue by 59.3
2377
#10
181.10.3
166.3166.6
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
Third
3650
#38
112.10.3
112.9113.2
Auto13.0
Teleop81.0
End21.3
blue by 59.4
171.51.1
160.5161.5
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed