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Red358
2199157.4
2964111.3
5841105.0
Blue140
3748101.1
2537166.1
371480.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2882420100200400500600358140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.40.4
143.3143.7
Auto21.6
Teleop124.4
End13.6
blue by 8.7
166.10.4
159.6159.2
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
Second
2964
#25
111.30.3
105.1104.8
Auto18.0
Teleop82.8
End13.0
red by 10.2
3748
#30
101.10.7
91.191.8
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
Third
5841
#26
105.00.1
103.3103.3
Auto16.7
Teleop74.3
End15.4
red by 24.9
3714
#33
80.21.0
83.182.1
Auto14.4
Teleop66.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed