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Red155
339148.5
6326119.1
3941139.6
Blue420
6505105.4
1727128.9
4541171.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33030502006008001,0001,2001,4001,600155420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#18
148.50.6
146.1146.7
Auto19.6
Teleop107.7
End23.4
blue by 23.0
171.51.3
161.5162.9
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
Second
3941
#22
139.60.1
134.1134.1
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
red by 10.8
1727
#34
128.90.8
127.8128.6
Auto15.7
Teleop91.3
End19.8
Third
6326
#35
119.11.1
128.4127.4
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8
red by 13.6
6505
#17
105.41.4
95.697.1
Auto17.3
Teleop78.1
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed