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Red288
449135.6
494985.8
2964111.3
Blue221
3389134.2
6213106.9
5841105.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2273000100200400500288221

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#24
135.61.1
127.4128.5
Auto18.9
Teleop99.7
End15.1
red by 1.4
3389
#14
134.20.5
125.5126.0
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
Second
2964
#25
111.30.4
104.8105.1
Auto18.0
Teleop82.8
End13.0
red by 4.5
6213
#28
106.90.2
103.3103.4
Auto16.0
Teleop79.8
End12.8
Third
4949
#36
85.80.6
85.785.0
Auto13.6
Teleop67.6
End4.2
blue by 19.2
5841
#26
105.00.6
103.3103.9
Auto16.7
Teleop74.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed