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Red243
5243130.5
4456118.9
836162.9
Blue213
686114.7
5115140.0
2961118.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442420100200300400500600243213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#4
162.91.2
153.6154.8
Auto20.7
Teleop122.4
End21.0
red by 22.9
5115
#16
140.00.3
137.7138.1
Auto18.8
Teleop108.5
End12.3
Second
130.51.2
120.2121.4
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1
red by 12.4
2961
#19
118.20.4
113.8114.2
Auto13.7
Teleop95.6
End10.4
Third
4456
#12
118.90.3
124.2124.5
Auto16.7
Teleop93.2
End8.4
red by 4.3
686
#6
114.71.6
99.2100.9
Auto20.0
Teleop88.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed