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Red219
614154.1
339148.5
6505105.4
Blue328
2377181.1
3748101.1
6239121.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions323287100200400500600219328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
614
#23
154.10.2
156.3156.5
Auto18.8
Teleop119.8
End17.5
blue by 27.0
2377
#10
181.11.8
168.8170.6
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
Second
339
#18
148.50.4
145.7145.4
Auto19.6
Teleop107.7
End23.4
red by 26.7
6239
#21
121.80.5
113.1113.6
Auto14.6
Teleop87.6
End22.9
Third
6505
#17
105.41.6
99.2100.9
Auto17.3
Teleop78.1
End13.1
red by 4.3
3748
#30
101.10.5
91.891.3
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed