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Red334
5841105.0
4472181.2
614154.1
Blue385
686114.7
5243130.5
2537166.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3442600100200300400500334385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.20.7
170.3171.0
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
red by 15.1
166.10.6
157.7158.3
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
Second
614
#23
154.10.4
156.5156.0
Auto18.8
Teleop119.8
End17.5
red by 23.6
130.50.3
121.4121.7
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1
Third
5841
#26
105.00.1
104.1104.2
Auto16.7
Teleop74.3
End15.4
blue by 9.6
686
#6
114.70.5
101.9102.4
Auto20.0
Teleop88.2
End9.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
64%Auto Quest oddsEarned54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed