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Red158
4456118.9
5115140.0
494985.8
Blue436
4099134.0
1727128.9
2199157.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252346100200300400500600158436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5115
#16
140.00.0
138.1138.1
Auto18.8
Teleop108.5
End12.3
blue by 17.4
157.40.9
145.4146.3
Auto21.6
Teleop124.4
End13.6
Second
4456
#12
118.90.6
124.2123.6
Auto16.7
Teleop93.2
End8.4
blue by 15.1
134.00.5
128.2128.7
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End9.7
Third
4949
#36
85.80.3
85.786.1
Auto13.6
Teleop67.6
End4.2
blue by 43.1
1727
#34
128.90.1
131.1131.0
Auto15.7
Teleop91.3
End19.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed