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Red239
6584111.7
2421139.2
3650112.1
Blue474
3941139.6
3389134.2
3748101.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3092610100200400500600239474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#31
139.20.9
150.9150.0
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.5
blue by 0.4
3941
#22
139.61.1
132.0130.9
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Second
3650
#38
112.10.7
113.9113.1
Auto13.0
Teleop81.0
End21.3
blue by 22.1
3389
#14
134.20.6
126.4125.8
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
Third
6584
#27
111.70.1
113.0113.0
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
red by 10.7
3748
#30
101.10.2
91.391.5
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed13%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed