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Red402
836162.9
2537166.1
4541171.5
Blue266
5945174.2
494985.8
2199157.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4252340100200300500600700402266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.51.2
168.9170.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
blue by 2.7
5945
#13
174.21.6
166.1167.7
Auto18.0
Teleop124.1
End30.5
Second
166.11.5
158.3159.8
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
red by 8.7
157.41.2
146.3147.5
Auto21.6
Teleop124.4
End13.6
Third
836
#4
162.91.0
155.2156.2
Auto20.7
Teleop122.4
End21.0
red by 77.1
4949
#36
85.80.4
86.185.7
Auto13.6
Teleop67.6
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
72%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed