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Red379
5115140.0
3748101.1
4472181.2
Blue208
413792.4
449135.6
4541171.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3173050100200400500600379208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.21.1
171.7172.8
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
red by 9.7
171.51.1
170.1171.2
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
Second
5115
#16
140.00.3
137.3137.0
Auto18.8
Teleop108.5
End12.3
red by 4.4
449
#24
135.60.8
133.3134.2
Auto18.9
Teleop99.7
End15.1
Third
3748
#30
101.11.8
93.094.8
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
red by 8.7
4137
#29
92.40.1
93.693.8
Auto17.0
Teleop75.5
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed