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Red264
6213106.9
686390.2
5243130.5
Blue287
6584111.7
2537166.1
1727128.9
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263680100300400500600700264287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
130.51.3
123.0124.3
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1
blue by 35.6
166.11.3
159.8161.2
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
Second
6213
#28
106.90.3
103.2103.5
Auto16.0
Teleop79.8
End12.8
blue by 22.0
1727
#34
128.90.2
131.3131.6
Auto15.7
Teleop91.3
End19.8
Third
6863
#32
90.20.2
89.889.6
Auto17.0
Teleop69.8
End7.8
blue by 21.5
6584
#27
111.70.4
112.4112.0
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed