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Red159
5841105.0
3650112.1
449135.6
Blue269
1915107.8
2849134.3
3748101.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112410100200400500600159269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#24
135.61.0
126.0127.0
Auto18.9
Teleop99.7
End15.1
red by 1.4
2849
#15
134.30.4
125.4125.8
Auto18.9
Teleop101.6
End12.3
Second
3650
#38
112.10.8
112.1112.9
Auto13.0
Teleop81.0
End21.3
red by 4.4
1915
#11
107.80.2
105.2105.4
Auto16.5
Teleop81.0
End9.6
Third
5841
#26
105.00.3
103.1103.3
Auto16.7
Teleop74.3
End15.4
red by 4.0
3748
#30
101.10.3
90.791.1
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed