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Red265
2377181.1
3389134.2
5115140.0
Blue172
2988107.1
3941139.6
2537166.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356292100200400500600265172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#10
181.11.2
165.1166.3
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
red by 15.0
166.11.5
158.1159.6
Auto22.7
Teleop125.6
End17.7
Second
5115
#16
140.01.8
133.5135.3
Auto18.8
Teleop108.5
End12.3
red by 0.4
3941
#22
139.61.4
132.7134.2
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Third
3389
#14
134.20.4
125.4125.7
Auto16.1
Teleop98.9
End20.2
red by 27.1
2988
#37
107.11.1
115.2116.2
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed