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Red175
2421139.2
5549120.2
494985.8
Blue317
4541171.5
5243130.5
2961118.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473390100200300400500600175317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2421
#31
139.21.2
148.4149.6
Auto16.2
Teleop103.8
End19.5
blue by 32.3
171.51.2
159.2160.5
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
Second
5549
#20
120.20.5
121.7122.2
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
blue by 10.3
130.50.7
117.9118.6
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1
Third
4949
#36
85.80.2
85.985.7
Auto13.6
Teleop67.6
End4.2
blue by 32.3
2961
#19
118.20.4
113.8113.4
Auto13.7
Teleop95.6
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed