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Red319
449135.6
5945174.2
6505105.4
Blue328
339148.5
6584111.7
686114.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320283100200400500600319328

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5945
#13
174.21.8
154.3156.1
Auto18.0
Teleop124.1
End30.5
red by 25.8
339
#18
148.50.1
146.0146.1
Auto19.6
Teleop107.7
End23.4
Second
449
#24
135.60.4
127.0127.4
Auto18.9
Teleop99.7
End15.1
red by 21.0
686
#6
114.70.5
98.098.4
Auto20.0
Teleop88.2
End9.2
Third
6505
#17
105.40.8
94.895.6
Auto17.3
Teleop78.1
End13.1
blue by 6.3
6584
#27
111.71.1
114.9113.9
Auto16.3
Teleop80.0
End16.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned2%Face the Boss oddsMissed