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Red115
2988107.1
6213106.9
413792.4
Blue321
4456118.9
3941139.6
4099134.0
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2133480100300400500600115321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2988
#37
107.10.4
116.2115.8
Auto15.1
Teleop88.2
End4.4
blue by 32.6
3941
#22
139.60.1
134.2134.1
Auto16.2
Teleop107.8
End16.0
Second
6213
#28
106.90.9
102.4103.3
Auto16.0
Teleop79.8
End12.8
blue by 27.1
134.00.4
126.8127.3
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End9.7
Third
4137
#29
92.41.0
100.099.1
Auto17.0
Teleop75.5
End3.7
blue by 26.5
4456
#12
118.90.9
122.5123.4
Auto16.7
Teleop93.2
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed