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Red301
3748101.1
339148.5
5549120.2
Blue475
686390.2
4099134.0
4472181.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268354100200300400500600301475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#18
148.51.6
146.0147.6
Auto19.6
Teleop107.7
End23.4
blue by 32.7
181.21.0
177.6178.6
Auto23.6
Teleop133.1
End24.9
Second
5549
#20
120.20.0
119.5119.5
Auto19.4
Teleop93.3
End9.7
blue by 13.7
134.01.1
132.0133.1
Auto18.0
Teleop107.7
End9.7
Third
3748
#30
101.11.2
99.9101.1
Auto13.6
Teleop76.1
End13.8
red by 10.9
6863
#32
90.20.3
90.090.2
Auto17.0
Teleop69.8
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned79%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed