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Red315
6326119.1
2377181.1
5243130.5
Blue395
2199157.4
4541171.5
6239121.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions315353200400500315395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2377
#10
181.10.7
178.4179.2
Auto20.8
Teleop133.0
End31.2
red by 9.6
171.50.2
170.0170.2
Auto22.2
Teleop130.5
End19.6
Second
130.51.7
127.9129.5
Auto19.8
Teleop102.5
End9.1
blue by 26.9
157.41.6
154.5156.0
Auto21.6
Teleop124.4
End13.6
Third
6326
#35
119.10.3
115.7116.1
Auto15.6
Teleop92.0
End13.8
blue by 2.7
6239
#21
121.80.8
121.0121.8
Auto14.6
Teleop87.6
End22.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed