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Red436
1111131.1
4242146.1
1389111.8
Blue369
2186124.3
5945154.3
1895143.0
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287365100200400500600700436369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.10.5
145.0145.5
Auto20.2
Teleop109.2
End20.8
blue by 8.2
154.30.8
151.4152.2
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
Second
131.10.3
131.5131.2
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
blue by 11.9
1895
#18
143.00.1
143.5143.4
Auto16.2
Teleop106.3
End20.6
Third
1389
#13
111.80.3
111.1111.4
Auto19.9
Teleop81.2
End10.4
blue by 12.5
2186
#14
124.30.4
122.9123.3
Auto14.3
Teleop99.4
End10.7