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Red179
1111131.1
4242146.1
1389111.8
Blue404
2186124.3
5945154.3
1895143.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297359100200400500600700179404

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.10.6
145.5146.1
Auto20.2
Teleop109.2
End20.8
blue by 8.2
154.30.7
152.2152.9
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
Second
131.10.2
131.2131.1
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
blue by 11.9
1895
#18
143.00.2
143.4143.2
Auto16.2
Teleop106.3
End20.6
Third
1389
#13
111.80.4
111.4111.8
Auto19.9
Teleop81.2
End10.4
blue by 12.5
2186
#14
124.30.3
123.3123.6
Auto14.3
Teleop99.4
End10.7