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Red387
3793127.2
446496.1
612151.2
Blue268
1885170.6
1727127.1
4099125.9
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions191371100300400500600700387268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#2
151.20.0
125.9125.9
Auto20.6
Teleop118.2
End12.8
blue by 19.4
170.60.8
156.2157.0
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
Second
3793
#20
127.20.6
115.2114.6
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
red by 0.1
1727
#26
127.115.9
75.291.2
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End21.2
Third
4464
#27
96.10.2
95.194.9
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End9.3
blue by 29.8
4099
#23
125.916.6
69.085.6
Auto18.6
Teleop100.2
End7.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed