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Red205
4137100.8
4242146.1
281996.5
Blue164
6213102.4
689390.3
611130.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274244100200300400500205164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.12.1
127.0129.1
Auto20.2
Teleop109.2
End20.8
red by 15.5
611
#36
130.51.8
126.3128.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7
Second
4137
#28
100.817.1
64.981.9
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
blue by 1.6
6213
#29
102.417.8
58.876.6
Auto14.3
Teleop79.9
End11.1
Third
2819
#11
96.51.9
101.899.9
Auto16.4
Teleop76.0
End4.0
red by 6.2
6893
#31
90.30.1
99.999.8
Auto12.9
Teleop73.1
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed