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Red316
620144.7
5945154.3
5243117.9
Blue118
5115133.5
6239119.5
2964105.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2533240100200400500600700316118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.39.0
99.8108.8
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
red by 20.8
5115
#17
133.510.6
98.3109.0
Auto17.7
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Second
620
#10
144.70.8
127.8128.6
Auto19.1
Teleop105.5
End23.3
red by 25.2
6239
#35
119.510.7
103.5114.2
Auto15.7
Teleop89.6
End13.1
Third
5243
#22
117.91.6
116.8115.1
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
red by 12.6
2964
#30
105.37.6
98.4106.0
Auto15.4
Teleop80.9
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed