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Red243
371484.0
1885170.6
1111131.1
Blue139
281996.5
171998.1
2912109.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3591560100200300400500600700243139

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.0
157.0157.0
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
red by 60.7
2912
#37
109.90.0
111.4111.4
Auto13.7
Teleop81.9
End14.3
Second
131.11.6
143.1141.5
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
red by 32.9
1719
#21
98.10.0
95.795.7
Auto14.3
Teleop77.7
End9.8
Third
3714
#38
84.08.0
82.890.8
Auto11.0
Teleop71.8
End1.2
blue by 12.5
2819
#11
96.51.4
99.998.6
Auto16.4
Teleop76.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed