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Red283
650593.5
611130.5
4242146.1
Blue339
3793127.2
888165.6
686399.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292293280300310320330283339

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
146.11.9
129.1131.0
Auto20.2
Teleop109.2
End20.8
blue by 19.6
888
#8
165.61.9
139.4141.4
Auto18.5
Teleop113.7
End33.6
Second
611
#36
130.51.0
128.1129.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7
red by 3.3
3793
#20
127.21.0
114.6115.6
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Third
6505
#34
93.510.4
65.776.1
Auto14.5
Teleop75.7
End4.5
blue by 5.9
6863
#32
99.48.5
77.786.2
Auto16.1
Teleop79.4
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed