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Red204
689390.3
4137100.8
623169.6
Blue401
612151.2
1895143.0
4541159.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273322100150200250300350400450500204401

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#5
169.61.5
150.2151.7
Auto18.4
Teleop128.7
End25.3
red by 10.4
159.28.8
111.3120.1
Auto19.3
Teleop122.1
End20.1
Second
4137
#28
100.811.8
81.993.8
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
blue by 50.4
612
#2
151.21.3
125.9127.2
Auto20.6
Teleop118.2
End12.8
Third
6893
#31
90.30.4
99.899.4
Auto12.9
Teleop73.1
End3.3
blue by 52.7
1895
#18
143.01.8
132.9134.7
Auto16.2
Teleop106.3
End20.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed