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Red278
2186124.3
1885170.6
171998.1
Blue257
1389111.8
686399.4
4242146.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3052630100200400500600278257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.6
157.0156.4
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
red by 24.5
146.11.6
131.0132.6
Auto20.2
Teleop109.2
End20.8
Second
2186
#14
124.30.6
123.0123.6
Auto14.3
Teleop99.4
End10.7
red by 12.5
1389
#13
111.80.3
107.5107.2
Auto19.9
Teleop81.2
End10.4
Third
1719
#21
98.10.2
95.795.5
Auto14.3
Teleop77.7
End9.8
blue by 1.2
6863
#32
99.47.3
86.293.5
Auto16.1
Teleop79.4
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed