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Red152
281996.5
371484.0
4514120.6
Blue326
4137100.8
5945154.3
612151.2
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2033120100400500600700152326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4514
#12
120.61.8
101.8103.7
Auto13.5
Teleop94.3
End15.7
blue by 33.7
154.37.8
108.8116.5
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
Second
2819
#11
96.51.4
98.697.2
Auto16.4
Teleop76.0
End4.0
blue by 54.8
612
#2
151.22.0
127.2129.3
Auto20.6
Teleop118.2
End12.8
Third
3714
#38
84.03.9
90.894.7
Auto11.0
Teleop71.8
End1.2
blue by 16.8
4137
#28
100.87.0
93.8100.8
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed