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Red152
446496.1
2186124.3
5243117.9
Blue219
5587152.4
612151.2
1111131.1
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2073740100300500600152219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2186
#14
124.30.1
123.6123.8
Auto14.3
Teleop99.4
End10.7
blue by 28.2
152.41.7
137.1138.8
Auto23.4
Teleop111.1
End17.1
Second
5243
#22
117.90.7
114.5113.7
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
blue by 33.3
612
#2
151.21.8
129.3131.1
Auto20.6
Teleop118.2
End12.8
Third
4464
#27
96.10.1
96.096.1
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End9.3
blue by 34.9
131.11.4
139.6138.3
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed