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Red201
2912109.9
3793127.2
1895143.0
Blue331
4541159.2
4242146.1
2914127.5
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265334100200300400500600700201331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#18
143.01.5
137.1138.7
Auto16.2
Teleop106.3
End20.6
blue by 16.2
159.28.6
120.1128.7
Auto19.3
Teleop122.1
End20.1
Second
3793
#20
127.21.3
117.0118.3
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
blue by 18.9
146.11.3
132.6133.9
Auto20.2
Teleop109.2
End20.8
Third
2912
#37
109.90.4
111.1110.7
Auto13.7
Teleop81.9
End14.3
blue by 17.6
2914
#16
127.50.7
116.8117.5
Auto15.0
Teleop101.1
End10.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed