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Red170
3650112.1
1895143.0
371484.0
Blue197
5243117.9
281996.5
1727127.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions251262100150200300350400450170197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#18
143.01.2
139.7140.9
Auto16.2
Teleop106.3
End20.6
red by 15.9
1727
#26
127.14.8
117.6122.4
Auto14.9
Teleop93.8
End21.2
Second
3650
#33
112.12.6
108.3110.8
Auto15.4
Teleop85.7
End13.3
blue by 5.8
5243
#22
117.90.3
112.7112.5
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
Third
3714
#38
84.04.0
94.890.8
Auto11.0
Teleop71.8
End1.2
blue by 12.5
2819
#11
96.50.8
95.794.8
Auto16.4
Teleop76.0
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed