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Red357
612151.2
6213102.4
2914127.5
Blue153
2964105.3
620144.7
650593.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297242100200400357153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#2
151.21.3
131.9133.2
Auto20.6
Teleop118.2
End12.8
red by 6.6
620
#10
144.70.9
131.9132.8
Auto19.1
Teleop105.5
End23.3
Second
2914
#16
127.51.0
118.1119.1
Auto15.0
Teleop101.1
End10.0
red by 22.2
2964
#30
105.30.1
105.0104.9
Auto15.4
Teleop80.9
End10.3
Third
6213
#29
102.40.2
98.998.7
Auto14.3
Teleop79.9
End11.1
red by 8.9
6505
#34
93.50.1
91.491.6
Auto14.5
Teleop75.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed