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Red249
446496.1
3650112.1
611130.5
Blue411
1111131.1
3793127.2
1389111.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279277150200250300350400249411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
611
#36
130.50.8
129.0128.2
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7
blue by 0.6
131.11.6
134.4132.8
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
Second
3650
#33
112.10.5
110.8111.3
Auto15.4
Teleop85.7
End13.3
blue by 15.1
3793
#20
127.21.1
120.1121.3
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Third
4464
#27
96.10.3
95.995.6
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End9.3
blue by 15.7
1389
#13
111.80.5
107.0107.5
Auto19.9
Teleop81.2
End10.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed