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Red368
4099125.9
612151.2
2186124.3
Blue280
5945154.3
2900106.2
2912109.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311254100150200350400450368280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#2
151.21.7
133.2134.9
Auto20.6
Teleop118.2
End12.8
blue by 3.1
154.33.3
127.9131.2
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
Second
4099
#23
125.92.7
110.7113.3
Auto18.6
Teleop100.2
End7.1
red by 16.0
2912
#37
109.91.0
110.2109.2
Auto13.7
Teleop81.9
End14.3
Third
2186
#14
124.31.2
122.1120.8
Auto14.3
Teleop99.4
End10.7
red by 18.0
2900
#15
106.20.1
96.997.0
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed9%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsEarned