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Red365
5841103.1
281996.5
1885170.6
Blue352
3793127.2
650593.5
5945154.3
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3192520100200400500365352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.62.1
157.8160.0
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
red by 16.3
154.35.0
135.0140.0
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
Second
5841
#24
103.11.4
104.8103.4
Auto14.3
Teleop78.2
End9.2
blue by 24.1
3793
#20
127.20.5
122.1122.6
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Third
2819
#11
96.50.6
94.394.8
Auto16.4
Teleop76.0
End4.0
red by 3.0
6505
#34
93.50.5
89.289.7
Auto14.5
Teleop75.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed