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Red364
620144.7
5115133.5
171998.1
Blue330
4514120.6
2900106.2
611130.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296281150200250350400450364330

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#10
144.72.1
133.8135.9
Auto19.1
Teleop105.5
End23.3
red by 14.1
611
#36
130.50.5
127.6128.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7
Second
5115
#17
133.51.0
122.8123.8
Auto17.7
Teleop105.1
End13.1
red by 12.9
4514
#12
120.61.6
109.8111.4
Auto13.5
Teleop94.3
End15.7
Third
1719
#21
98.10.3
94.694.9
Auto14.3
Teleop77.7
End9.8
blue by 8.1
2900
#15
106.22.1
97.799.7
Auto13.3
Teleop75.6
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned7%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed