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Red272
1111131.1
4137100.8
2964105.3
Blue188
3373118.4
371484.0
1389111.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3112270100200400500600272188

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131.10.0
131.8131.8
Auto17.5
Teleop100.0
End13.0
red by 12.6
3373
#25
118.41.0
121.1120.1
Auto17.3
Teleop92.5
End7.0
Second
2964
#30
105.30.2
106.2106.0
Auto15.4
Teleop80.9
End10.3
blue by 6.5
1389
#13
111.80.9
108.8109.7
Auto19.9
Teleop81.2
End10.4
Third
4137
#28
100.81.6
105.2103.6
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
red by 16.8
3714
#38
84.00.1
85.585.6
Auto11.0
Teleop71.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed