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Red213
4541159.2
3650112.1
4137100.8
Blue411
1885170.6
5115133.5
4514120.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2603450100200300400500213411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.23.7
150.5154.2
Auto19.3
Teleop122.1
End20.1
blue by 11.4
170.62.5
160.0162.5
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
Second
3650
#33
112.10.4
111.9112.3
Auto15.4
Teleop85.7
End13.3
blue by 21.4
5115
#17
133.52.0
125.7127.7
Auto17.7
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Third
4137
#28
100.81.4
103.6102.3
Auto18.0
Teleop80.0
End0.7
blue by 19.8
4514
#12
120.62.2
113.6115.8
Auto13.5
Teleop94.3
End15.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed