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Red295
623169.6
281996.5
3373118.4
Blue237
171998.1
2914127.5
3793127.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333254100200300400500600295237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#5
169.61.2
162.8164.0
Auto18.4
Teleop128.7
End25.3
red by 42.1
2914
#16
127.50.8
124.7125.5
Auto15.0
Teleop101.1
End10.0
Second
3373
#25
118.41.0
120.1119.2
Auto17.3
Teleop92.5
End7.0
blue by 8.7
3793
#20
127.21.1
123.7124.8
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Third
2819
#11
96.50.0
96.096.0
Auto16.4
Teleop76.0
End4.0
blue by 1.7
1719
#21
98.11.2
95.897.0
Auto14.3
Teleop77.7
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed