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Red418
5945154.3
623169.6
3650112.1
Blue243
5587152.4
650593.5
446496.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382233100200300500600700418243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
623
#5
169.61.3
164.0165.3
Auto18.4
Teleop128.7
End25.3
red by 17.2
152.41.4
149.4150.8
Auto23.4
Teleop111.1
End17.1
Second
154.32.3
148.2150.5
Auto18.8
Teleop108.9
End29.9
red by 58.1
4464
#27
96.10.5
95.696.1
Auto15.3
Teleop73.4
End9.3
Third
3650
#33
112.10.2
112.3112.1
Auto15.4
Teleop85.7
End13.3
red by 18.6
6505
#34
93.51.5
92.093.5
Auto14.5
Teleop75.7
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed