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Red392
1885170.6
5587152.4
5243117.9
Blue181
3793127.2
4514120.6
4099125.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions412252100200300500600700392181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.8
167.5168.3
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
red by 43.4
3793
#20
127.20.5
125.9126.4
Auto19.0
Teleop96.9
End12.5
Second
152.40.5
150.8151.3
Auto23.4
Teleop111.1
End17.1
red by 26.5
4099
#23
125.90.4
124.8125.2
Auto18.6
Teleop100.2
End7.1
Third
5243
#22
117.90.6
115.5116.2
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
blue by 2.6
4514
#12
120.60.9
118.2119.0
Auto13.5
Teleop94.3
End15.7