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Red296
1885170.6
5587152.4
5243117.9
Blue411
611130.5
623169.6
5115133.5
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343320200250300400450500550296411

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.60.5
169.6170.2
Auto17.0
Teleop132.3
End22.0
red by 1.0
623
#5
169.60.6
167.1167.7
Auto18.4
Teleop128.7
End25.3
Second
152.40.3
152.0152.3
Auto23.4
Teleop111.1
End17.1
red by 19.0
5115
#17
133.50.4
131.4131.8
Auto17.7
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Third
5243
#22
117.90.4
117.2117.6
Auto16.9
Teleop94.5
End8.0
blue by 12.6
611
#36
130.50.0
130.2130.2
Auto17.2
Teleop97.1
End17.7